RUS  |  ENG

to content of issue

Title

Criminological forecasting as a type of scientific forecasting

Authors

Cand. Sc. Law, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Legal Disciplines, Ozersk branch of South Ural State University (National Research University). Office 210, Bazhova Str., 456783, Ozersk, Chelyabinsk region. E-mail: cherepashknas@ susu.ac.ru

Section

Criminal legal doctrine

Issue

3/2014

Page

135-138

index UDC

343.9.01

index LBC

Abstract

The article describes one of the methods used in criminology - crime forecasting. Criminological forecasting is described as a type of scientific forecasting and a method of crime prevention. The present study indicates that criminological forecasting of crimes is not only the central focus of criminal policy but also the scientific practical interest as it serves as the basis for the development of federal and regional criminological programs helping to formulate concise proposals and recommendations on crime prevention. Moreover, the authors claim that it is important that forecasting is designed not only to identify possible options for crime alteration but also to identify possible and effective ways of crime prevention. The authors note that the crime forecasting should be the main point of reference in the training and retraining of law enforcement bodies which enhances their skills and qualifications and assists the formation of legal culture and consciousness in the society.

Keywords

criminological forecasting, crime forecasting, crime prevention, criminological prediction, criminal policy.

You can access full text version of the article

to content of issue